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πŸš€ SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN

TL;DR

  • SpaceX's first day looked disciplined, not manic: Priced at $135 and trading around $167 to $172 during the show, the stock was up roughly 24% to 27%, which the hosts framed as the sweet spot Bill Gurley likes for a successful IPO.

  • Gwen Shotwell stole the show with receipts: At Nasdaq she rattled off Falcon 1 in 2008, Falcon 9 two years later, 165 launches last year, and said more than half of SpaceX's 22,000 employees bought extra shares in the offering for nearly $1 billion total.

  • Shotwell's personal story is central to the SpaceX myth: She almost turned Elon Musk down in 2002, then realized on an LA freeway that trying the risky thing mattered more than playing it safe, a decision that turned the seventh employee into an $86 million compensation story last year.

  • The old Musk testimony looks prophetic in hindsight: The hosts revisit a 2004 Senate hearing where Musk, then an outsider with no launches, argued NASA should be a customer not a competitor and called recent human spaceflight a 'dark age,' a view they say history vindicated.

  • Scarcity was real despite gossip about easy allocations: Even people asking for 20, 50, or 100 shares reportedly got tiny fills, with one host receiving just 22 shares and others getting one share, suggesting demand overwhelmed supply.

  • The show stayed very TBPN: Alongside the SpaceX analysis, they veered into Peter Thiel losing on Chess.com, a fake-looking Uber-driver stock tip text, Apple insisting Siri will not be your AI girlfriend, and a long bit about choosing the dog walker over the dentist.

The Breakdown

SpaceX priced at $135, opened around $150, and held a roughly 24% pop near noon, landing at about a $2.28 trillion market cap in what the hosts call a clean, well-managed IPO instead of a chaotic first-day spike. The bigger emotional beat is Gwen Shotwell's victory lap: a Falcon 9 launch on listing day, 22,000 employees, nearly $1 billion of employee stock bought in the offering, and a reminder that one of the best company-building stories in America started as a risky bet she almost passed on.

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