π SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
TL;DR
SpaceX's first day looked disciplined, not manic: Priced at $135 and trading around $167 to $172 during the show, the stock was up roughly 24% to 27%, which the hosts framed as the sweet spot Bill Gurley likes for a successful IPO.
Gwen Shotwell stole the show with receipts: At Nasdaq she rattled off Falcon 1 in 2008, Falcon 9 two years later, 165 launches last year, and said more than half of SpaceX's 22,000 employees bought extra shares in the offering for nearly $1 billion total.
Shotwell's personal story is central to the SpaceX myth: She almost turned Elon Musk down in 2002, then realized on an LA freeway that trying the risky thing mattered more than playing it safe, a decision that turned the seventh employee into an $86 million compensation story last year.
The old Musk testimony looks prophetic in hindsight: The hosts revisit a 2004 Senate hearing where Musk, then an outsider with no launches, argued NASA should be a customer not a competitor and called recent human spaceflight a 'dark age,' a view they say history vindicated.
Scarcity was real despite gossip about easy allocations: Even people asking for 20, 50, or 100 shares reportedly got tiny fills, with one host receiving just 22 shares and others getting one share, suggesting demand overwhelmed supply.
The show stayed very TBPN: Alongside the SpaceX analysis, they veered into Peter Thiel losing on Chess.com, a fake-looking Uber-driver stock tip text, Apple insisting Siri will not be your AI girlfriend, and a long bit about choosing the dog walker over the dentist.
The Breakdown
SpaceX priced at $135, opened around $150, and held a roughly 24% pop near noon, landing at about a $2.28 trillion market cap in what the hosts call a clean, well-managed IPO instead of a chaotic first-day spike. The bigger emotional beat is Gwen Shotwell's victory lap: a Falcon 9 launch on listing day, 22,000 employees, nearly $1 billion of employee stock bought in the offering, and a reminder that one of the best company-building stories in America started as a risky bet she almost passed on.
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