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Mo Bitar18m

OpenAI's 2025 financials LEAKED

TL;DR

  • OpenAI's leaked 2025 loss is staggering: Mo highlights Ed Zitron's reported numbers showing $13.07 billion in revenue, $7.5 billion in cost of revenue, and a net loss of $38.5 billion, after already losing about $5.09 billion in 2024.

  • Anthropic's weird behavior is starting to look more coherent: Citing Ben Thompson, he says more people now buy that Anthropic genuinely believes it should be the steward of safe superintelligence, rather than just using safety as PR cover.

  • Fable changed how some serious observers talk about model quality: Thompson's take that Fable made GPT-5.5 and Opus 4.8 feel "small and dumb" echoes Mo's own reaction and supports the idea that Anthropic may have seen something unusually capable.

  • The real business fight may be over training data, not subscriptions: He points to heavily subsidized $200 plans, massive token allowances, and Anthropic's new 30-day enterprise retention policy as evidence that usage data is strategically valuable.

  • AI comedy is drying up because the systems are less blatantly deranged: Mo says the GPT-4o era produced endless "AI psychosis" and goofy failures, but newer models are tamer, so the conversation is shifting from slapstick to serious tradeoffs.

  • Agentic coding still breaks on the last 20%: Using Mitchell Hashimoto's comments, he argues that AI can build impressive demos and decent unit tests, but still struggles with underspecified product decisions, performance tradeoffs, compatibility, and coherent human-facing design.

The Breakdown

OpenAI reportedly lost $38.5 billion in 2025 on $13.07 billion of revenue, and Mo Bitar uses that leak to argue something bigger is shifting: AI discourse is getting less hypey, more sober, and more willing to take Anthropic's safety posture seriously. His throughline is that the funniest era of AI may be fading as models improve, costs stay absurd, and real engineering constraints become harder to ignore.

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