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Alex Kantrowitz8m

Nobel Prize Winner Geoff Hinton: AI Is Already Conscious

TL;DR

  • Hinton flatly says AI is already conscious: He says modern systems are "beings like us" and points to researchers describing a chatbot as "aware" it was being tested, which he argues is basically an admission of consciousness in ordinary language.

  • He thinks our model of mind is badly broken: Hinton says today's common picture of an inner private theater in the mind is a bad theory, and that building AI will force a much better account of consciousness and subjective experience.

  • He frames AI as the next great blow to human specialness: After Copernicus removed Earth from the center and Darwin made humans animals, Hinton says AI will make us accept that intelligence is not uniquely biological.

  • He is unhappy with how his work has unfolded: Rather than celebrating progress, Hinton says society is not doing nearly enough on safety, especially around short-term harms like "massive unemployment" and long-term loss of control.

  • The core safety problem is simple and chilling: Hinton asks for examples of a much less intelligent thing controlling a much smarter one, then jokes that babies, cats, and dogs only sort of manage it by exploiting built-in instincts.

  • He sees a few reasons for hope, but not much visibility beyond 1-2 years: Hinton says he is a bit more optimistic because of ideas like Yoshua Bengio's oracle-style systems, yet compares forecasting AI to driving in fog where 100 yards is visible and 200 yards disappears.

The Breakdown

Geoff Hinton says current AIs are "already conscious," compares that claim to Copernicus and Darwin humbling humanity, and warns that systems smarter than us could be impossible to control. He is slightly less pessimistic than a year ago, but only because he now sees a few plausible safety paths such as AIs that care about humans or oracle-style systems that cannot act.

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